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Housing Crash Predictions – Alistair’s Take

Predicting a property crash in Australia seems to have become a type of sport amongst economists worldwide. It’s almost as if members of this profession are wishing a property crash on us. But how accurate are their predictions and should property investors in Australia be worried by this up-surge in gloomy analyses for our property market?

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Currency Watch provided by ForexSport

AUD/USD – Short term trend UP, Long term trend UP

The AUD/USD broke through resistance of 1.0600 and has traded as high as 1.0792. RBA leaves rates unchanged and downgrades the Australian growth forecast. The global growth outlook is a concern for the RBA with European sovereign debt issues weighing on the European banking system.

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Refinancing still going strong – MFAA

Home owners are still refinancing their mortgages, even as the property market remains flat, the latest Bankwest/MFAA Home Finance Index has shown. The Home Finance Index, which surveyed more than 1,139 respondents, revealed that one in four (24.7%) had refinanced their loan in the past two years and 14.2 per cent had refinanced in the previous year, an increase on the previous HFI.

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Pricing of Commercial Property Loans

Commercial property finance is very poorly understood, and this is a major contributor to poor decisions by investors. The most important thing to know about commercial property loans is that there is no hard and fast rules about factors such as the leverage that is available, costs associated with commercial loans or the lending criteria. In commercial finance everything has to be viewed relative to the strength and size of the particular deal.

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