Melbourne’s housing market is showing renewed strength, with forecasts suggesting its median house price will top $1 million by summer. A strong spring selling season, coupled with high-demand hotspots like Frankston, is driving momentum after years of underperformance.

Key Takeaways

  • Melbourne’s median house price is expected to surpass $1 million by summer 2025.
  • Frankston is emerging as one of the country’s hottest investment suburbs.
  • Demand is rebounding, with buyer inquiries lifting in 90% of Melbourne suburbs.
  • Melbourne remains comparatively affordable compared to Sydney and Brisbane.
  • Interstate investors and major infrastructure projects are fuelling renewed growth.

Frankston: A Standout Investment Hotspot

One of Melbourne’s biggest drawcards this spring is Frankston, a bayside suburb that has surged in popularity.

  • Median house price has nearly doubled since 2015, now sitting at around $800,000.
  • Infrastructure development and apartment approvals are reshaping the area.
  • Analysts rank Frankston among the top property hotspots nationally.

“Something’s happening here and it’s become one of the hottest markets, certainly in the state, but also nationally,”
— Terry Ryder, Property Analyst

Ray White’s Chief Auctioneer Jeremy Tyrell also confirmed strong investor activity, particularly from interstate buyers, marking Frankston as a suburb “on the move.”

Melbourne’s Market Recovery

If Melbourne reclaims the $1 million benchmark, it will join Sydney and Brisbane in Australia’s million-dollar property club.

Eleanor Creagh, Senior Economist at PropTrack, said this milestone would reflect a strong recovery after years of sluggish performance.

“It’s somewhat of a milestone for Melbourne, not quite fully recovered, but almost fully recovered after what has been a prolonged period of several years of underperformance,”
— Eleanor Creagh, PropTrack

Indicators Point to Strong Spring Growth

Several market indicators suggest Melbourne’s property prices are set to rise further:

  • Buyer inquiries per listing have risen significantly across the city.
  • Close to 90% of Melbourne suburbs have recorded stronger inquiry levels over the past year.
  • Improved affordability relative to Sydney and Brisbane is attracting more buyers.

As a result, many analysts expect price growth to accelerate during the spring selling season, setting Melbourne on track to hit the million-dollar milestone.

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